Prediction Win FOR GOP In 2014- Can They Hold It In 2016?
This obviously makes the very nervous. It is one thing to hand wring in the corners, but when a statistician is willing to post his predictions, is another. Back in July, FiveThirtyEight had posted correctly the would most likely retain the chamber. The new forecast now favors the Republicans to win at least six seats and capture the chamber.
This is partially due to the deterioration of Obama’s approval ratings, with links to the . Obama’s approval rating decreased to 42-43 from the average of 45 percent. Additionally, the has “done a better job of recruiting credible candidates, with some exceptions,” said.
What predicted is significant. had successfully predicted every state in the 2012 election, so people are taking notice for his 2014 prediction. Silver and his team crunch the numbers, in order to provide the outcome. [That discern math class in college was worth something.]
Chris Cillizza a writer for concedes with Silverman’s prediction , but is not hopeful the can maintain majority in 2016. accurately accounts for 23 Republican seats, in comparison to 10 Democrats up for the 2016 election. Most of these GOP seats are in the Democratic states. In order to maintain control, if the GOP wins in 2014, the 23 Republican seats within the Democratic states will need to also be held.
I submit another issue is at play. The two opposing factions within the Republican party, tea party Republicans versus the old Republican party.
The GOP was happy for the support of the Tea Party movement, providing momentum for the party back in the day. However, not so much, while in the ranks of the party. House Republican leader has sided with the House no less than six times within the year, sharply opposing the Tea Party-backed members. This is only causing friction within the Republican party.
For those Tea Party members wishing to reduce government over-sight, decrease the ever increasing debt, reduce the federalism mindset, they will be fighting the and the current Old Republican Party.
Ted Cruz interview with Jonathan Karl
Solution to Bloated Gang of Eight Immigration Bill
There is a very concerning scenario in play. Having the gang of eight with the traitor Majority Leader, Harry Reid, piece-mealing a comprehensive immigration bill in the back room looks to become a possible reality.
The so-called gang of eight consists of eight Senators, four Republicans and four Democrats, working on the immigration overhaul. On the right, we have Marc Rubio (FL), Jeff Flake (Az), John Mccain (Az), and Lindsey Graham (SC). On the left you have Dick Durbin (IL), Robert Menendez (NJ), Chuck Schumer (NY), and Michael Bennet (CO).
Their proposed immigration legislation is a 1200-page mammoth, providing the Senators only 72 hours to read before the votes begin. Sounds familiar to the famous “pass it to know what’s in it” Nancy Pelosi mentality. This mammoth law is not believed to pass as is.
US Debt Breaks $17 Trillion
Congratulations Congress and White House! Debt has now breached 17 trillion dollars, according to the Treasury Department on Friday, October 11, 2013. The jump of $328 billion dollars pushed it over the $17 trillion mark. The $328 billion dollar increase was also a record, from the $238 billion dollar jump two years ago. The increase was due to a “replenishing” of its stock for “extraordinary measures”. This replenishing occurs as soon as there is a new debt space provided. Thanks for raising that debt ceiling Congress! Generally, Congress would set a cap for the borrowing limit, or a debt ceiling. However, this is the first time in history a cap was not provided. Congress with President Obama set a deadline, instead of a.... Continue Reading
